CPI inflation rate edges up to higher-than-expected 0.6%

The Retail Price Index measure of inflation for July, which determines how much regulated rail fares

The Retail Price Index measure of inflation for July, which determines how much regulated rail fares will rise , was 1.9%, up from 1.6% in June, the ONS said today. Photo: Chris Radburn/PA Wire - Credit: PA

Inflation accelerated to a higher-than-expected 0.6% last month as rising prices for motor fuels and second-hand cars drove up transport costs.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in July was up from 0.5% in June, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. Economists had been expecting the figure to be unchanged.

But while there was no sign yet of the plunge in the value of the pound having a major impact on CPI, the ONS said the Producer Prices Index (PPI) showed the slump in sterling following the Brexit vote had pushed up the cost of imports for British manufacturers.

Input prices rose 4.3% in the year to July, compared with a drop of 0.5% in the year to June, as it was partly impacted by the fall in the value of the pound, which drove up the cost of imported metals and chemicals.

Mike Prestwood, head of prices at ONS, said: “The Consumer Prices Index has continued in July its recent slow upward trend since late 2015, with transport costs the biggest single factor this month.


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“There is no obvious impact on today’s consumer prices figures following the EU referendum result, though the Producer Prices Index (PPI) suggests the fall in the exchange rate is beginning to push up import price faced by manufacturers.

“These are the first sets of consumer and producer prices data collected since the referendum polling day.”

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The ONS said CPI was impacted by transport costs rising by 1.6% between June and July this year, compared with a 1.2% increase over the same period a year ago, while the prices of second-hand cars fell less than they did a year ago.

It added that alcoholic drink prices also rose 0.5% month on month in July, compared with a fall a year ago, as wine prices dropped by less than they did in 2015.

Meanwhile, food and non-alcoholic drinks fell 0.2% between June and July, which is lower than a 0.7% drop over the period last year.

However, downward pressure on CPI came from the price of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels, which was unchanged over the period after rising by 0.3% last year, while recreation and culture costs slipped 0.1% this year compared with a 0.2% increase a year ago.

The price of petrol rose from 111p in June to 111.8p a litre in July, while the cost of diesel, climbed from 112.1p to 113p a litre over the period.

The ONS said the Retail Prices Index (RPI), a separate measure of inflation, which includes housing costs, rose to 1.9% in July, up from 1.6% in June.

The July RPI figure is significant as it used to set the rate at which regulated rail fares will will be permitted to rise next year.

Around half of rail fares are regulated, including season tickets on most commuter journeys, some off-peak return tickets on long distance trips and Anytime tickets around major cities.

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