Looking like hung parliament
Six pollsters’ latest polls generally show a slight decline for the Conservatives. The Conservatives’ lead over Labour is shown as:
ICM (Guardian) has 8% (up from 7%),
Angus Reid (Political Betting) has 12% (unchanged),
YouGov (Sun) has 7% (down from 8%),
ComRes (Independent; ITV) has 9% (down from 10%),
Populus (Times) has 9% (unchanged),
Harris (Daily Mail) has 6% (down from 9%), and
Sporting Index implied support levels are: Con 36.8%, Lab 27.2%, Lib 26.3%
Electoral Calculus, taking its average over all the pollsters and the implied market support figures, says the Conservative lead over Labour is 8% (down from 10%).
Its overall prediction for the election result is:
The Conservatives will win the most votes and the most seats
Labour and the Lib Dems are fighting for second and third place, but Labour will get more seats
Parliament will probably be hung.
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules here